2026 Playoff Odds
20,000 simulated seasons from today's table and power ratings. Top 8 make the playoffs.
| # | Club | Proj Pts | Playoff% | Top 4% | Shield% | Title% | Finish distribution |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  NJ/NY Gotham FC | 58.4 | 100.0% | 97.0% | 63.4% | 19.8% | |
| 2 |  Washington Spirit | 54.0 | 99.7% | 81.8% | 17.3% | 15.5% | |
| 3 |  San Diego Wave FC | 52.6 | 99.0% | 64.6% | 7.3% | 17.6% | |
| 4 |  Utah Royals FC | 51.6 | 98.3% | 59.0% | 6.6% | 11.1% | |
| 5 |  Portland Thorns FC | 51.0 | 97.9% | 48.4% | 3.6% | 7.7% | |
| 6 |  North Carolina Courage | 48.2 | 90.9% | 24.5% | 1.1% | 9.7% | |
| 7 |  Kansas City Current | 47.6 | 88.4% | 18.3% | 0.5% | 11.2% | |
| 8 |  Seattle Reign FC | 43.9 | 53.8% | 3.7% | <0.1% | 2.8% | |
| 9 |  Angel City FC | 42.4 | 44.8% | 2.3% | <0.1% | 3.4% | |
| 10 |  Denver Summit FC | 39.8 | 21.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 1.0% | |
| 11 |  Orlando Pride | 36.2 | 3.0% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | |
| 12 |  Houston Dash | 35.8 | 2.4% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | |
| 13 |  Bay FC | 32.0 | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | <0.1% | |
| 14 |  Racing Louisville FC | 32.1 | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 15 |  Boston Legacy FC | 28.6 | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 16 |  Chicago Stars FC | 21.3 | — | — | — | — |
playoff positions (1–8)outside the lineheat = P(finishing in that position)
Odds inherit the power ratings. A club the model rates above its current points projects upward relative to the live table, and vice versa.
Playoff-odds rank progression
rank 1–16 · by week · hover a line