2026 Playoff Odds
20,000 simulated seasons from today's table and power ratings. Top 8 make the playoffs.
| # | Club | Proj Pts | Playoff% | Top 4% | Shield% | Title% | Finish distribution |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  NJ/NY Gotham FC | 58.3 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 49.9% | 16.4% | |
| 2 |  San Diego Wave FC | 57.8 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 41.2% | 22.3% | |
| 3 |  Washington Spirit | 55.5 | 100.0% | 98.8% | 8.9% | 13.6% | |
| 4 |  Kansas City Current | 50.7 | 100.0% | 53.2% | 0.0% | 16.9% | |
| 5 |  Angel City FC | 50.0 | 99.9% | 38.6% | 0.0% | 12.2% | |
| 6 |  Utah Royals FC | 48.6 | 96.7% | 7.6% | 0.0% | 5.4% | |
| 7 |  Portland Thorns FC | 47.0 | 81.7% | 1.5% | 0.0% | 4.7% | |
| 8 |  Seattle Reign FC | 45.7 | 59.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 3.0% | |
| 9 |  North Carolina Courage | 45.3 | 58.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 5.3% | |
| 10 |  Denver Summit FC | 40.8 | 3.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | |
| 11 |  Orlando Pride | 38.4 | — | — | — | — | |
| 12 |  Boston Legacy FC | 33.7 | — | — | — | — | |
| 13 |  Houston Dash | 32.8 | — | — | — | — | |
| 14 |  Bay FC | 28.7 | — | — | — | — | |
| 15 |  Racing Louisville FC | 25.9 | — | — | — | — | |
| 16 |  Chicago Stars FC | 18.5 | — | — | — | — |
playoff positions (1–8)outside the lineheat = P(finishing in that position)
Odds inherit the power ratings. A club the model rates above its current points projects upward relative to the live table, and vice versa.
Playoff-odds rank progression
rank 1–16 · by week · hover a line