2026 Playoff Odds
20,000 simulated seasons from today's table and power ratings. Top 8 make the playoffs.
| # | Club | Proj Pts | Playoff% | Top 4% | Shield% | Title% | Finish distribution |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  NJ/NY Gotham FC | 59.7 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 80.1% | 18.1% | |
| 2 |  San Diego Wave FC | 56.1 | 100.0% | 98.9% | 14.5% | 20.3% | |
| 3 |  Washington Spirit | 53.8 | 100.0% | 93.4% | 5.3% | 12.1% | |
| 4 |  Utah Royals FC | 49.9 | 97.5% | 36.4% | 0.1% | 7.0% | |
| 5 |  Kansas City Current | 49.2 | 96.5% | 33.9% | 0.0% | 15.3% | |
| 6 |  Angel City FC | 48.5 | 95.1% | 22.1% | 0.0% | 10.9% | |
| 7 |  Portland Thorns FC | 47.6 | 85.7% | 8.5% | 0.0% | 5.3% | |
| 8 |  North Carolina Courage | 46.8 | 78.5% | 6.5% | 0.0% | 8.3% | |
| 9 |  Seattle Reign FC | 44.8 | 34.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 1.9% | |
| 10 |  Denver Summit FC | 42.1 | 12.7% | <0.1% | 0.0% | 0.8% | |
| 11 |  Orlando Pride | 36.8 | — | — | — | — | |
| 12 |  Houston Dash | 34.1 | — | — | — | — | |
| 13 |  Boston Legacy FC | 33.8 | — | — | — | — | |
| 14 |  Bay FC | 28.9 | — | — | — | — | |
| 15 |  Racing Louisville FC | 25.8 | — | — | — | — | |
| 16 |  Chicago Stars FC | 19.3 | — | — | — | — |
playoff positions (1–8)outside the lineheat = P(finishing in that position)
Odds inherit the power ratings. A club the model rates above its current points projects upward relative to the live table, and vice versa.
Playoff-odds rank progression
rank 1–16 · by week · hover a line